Vote by Mail 2

League of Women Voters of California

 

The 2020 presidential primary elections took place during the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic. Safety precautions required social distancing as well as continually sanitizing polling places. This all made in-person voting hazardous. Long lines at polling places and general fears about spreading the coronavirus led at least 16 states to postpone their primaries or expand vote-by-mail systems.

Vote by mail is also known as postal voting . It is often called absentee voting. It is exactly what its name implies: a voting procedure in which ballots are mailed to voters to fill out, and the voters mail them back. The U.S. first used postal voting during the American Civil War to allow Union troops to vote while still away from home fighting the war. Since then, it has become an institution of voting practice. Five states currently hold elections entirely by mail. 

It is still a primary means for U.S. military service members and Americans living overseas to vote during election time. Some people vote by mail to avoid lines at polling places on Election Day. Many people vote by mail to avoid losing time at work, especially low-income workers who cannot afford to take time off on Election Day.

States have to verify that ballots are mailed in a timely way. Most states require that ballots be received by Election Day. But some states allow ballots to be received after Election Day if they are postmarked on or before Election Day. A postmark is a stamp the U.S. Postal Service places on an envelope to officially indicate when the item was mailed.

Some states that expanded vote by mail did so by extending deadlines for postmarked ballots. Other states did so by ordering that every voter receive a mail-in ballot. California Governor Gavin Newsom, a Democrat, issued an executive order in May 2020 ordering that all of California’s registered voters get vote-by-mail ballots for the November 3, 2020, general election. The purpose was to encourage but not mandate postal voting in the election.

Who Benefits From Vote by Mail?

President Donald Trump has publicly objected to states instituting expanded vote-by-mail procedures. He has argued that mail-in ballots would be used to benefit the opposing Democratic Party in the general election. In multiple tweets he has claimed, without evidence, that the general election would be “rigged” against him.

Polls do show that supporters of Democratic Party candidate Joe Biden prefer voting by mail over in-person voting. An Emerson College poll of those who plan to vote by mail showed that 76 percent prefer Joe Biden as compared to only 20 percent who prefer Donald Trump.

However, a Stanford University research team published a study in April 2020 showing postal voting tends to affect turnout (how many voters show up) for both major parties equally. And vote by mail does not increase the share of total votes for either party. Vote by mail does, however, tend to increase overall voter turnout.

Voter Fraud?

In a June 2020 speech to supporters in Phoenix, Arizona, Trump said, “The Democrats are also trying to rig the election by sending out tens of millions of mail-in ballots, using the [coronavirus] . . . as the excuse for allowing people not to go to the polls.”  He said that mail-in voting would lead to voter fraud. Voter fraud is any use of falsified ballots in an election. He speculated, “Where are these ballots going? Who’s getting them? Who is not getting them? A little section that’s Republican. Will they be stolen from mailboxes as they get put in by the mailman? Will they be taken from the mailmen and the mailwomen? Will they be forged?” Voter fraud is extremely rare. After the 2016 presidential election, the largest investigation into voter fraud was in Tennessee. Officials there counted 40 credible allegations of voter fraud out of 1.3 million votes. The number was so low, it would not have affected the election’s outcome.

Once in office, President Trump created the Presidential Advisory Commission on Election Integrity to investigate election fraud. He had claimed that millions of undocumented immigrants voted illegally. By January 2018, the commission had found no evidence of widespread election fraud, and the president shut down the commission. 

Ballot Harvesting

While always rare, voter fraud occurs more often with mail-in ballots. Richard L. Hasen, a professor of law and political science at the University of California, Irvine School of Law, says that election fraud occurs more frequently with postal voting than in-person voting, “but it is still rare.” One of the most notorious cases of vote-by-mail fraud in recent years involved “ballot  harvesting.” In 2018, a man working on the campaign of Republican congressional candidate Mark Harris in North Carolina paid several people to collect unsealed and incomplete mail-in ballots from voters. He also paid people to complete the ballots with votes for Harris and false signatures. He was caught and indicted for violations of North Carolina election law.

A ‘Brazen Power Grab’?

The California Republican Party and the Republican National Committee (RNC) sued the state of California in May 2020 to stop Gov. Newsom’s vote-by-mail executive order. They called Newsom’s order a “brazen power grab” in which Newsom attempted to single-handedly rewrite election law. The plaintiffs (people who bring a lawsuit against someone) alleged constitutional violations.

The Elections Clause in Article I of the U.S. Constitution says that state legislatures shall determine the times, places, and manner of congressional elections. And the Electors Clause in Article II says that state legislatures shall determine how the states’ electors in the Electoral College are chosen. A month after Newsom issued his order, the California legislature passed a law authorizing Newsom to issue the vote-by-mail ballots. The Republicans’ lawsuit became moot, or no longer relevant. (On November 2, 2020 — one day before Election Day — a state trial court in a different case decided that it would declare that Governor Newsom overstepped his authority and should not do it again. The court’s decision did not affect the California election itself.)

The state of Nevada passed its own bill in August that would provide mail-in ballots for every active voter in the state. The state’s identified 300,000 inactive voters will not receive mail-in ballots. The bill passed strictly along party lines, highlighting the partisan nature of this conflict. Democrats supported it, and Republicans opposed it. The Trump campaign, the Nevada Republican Party, and the RNC sued Nevada’s secretary of state, also a Republican, to stop her from issuing the mail-in ballots leading up to the November general election.

The basis of their claim against Nevada’s law was different than in California. Normally, Nevada election officials accept ballots that arrive up to three days after Election Day, even if the postmark is unclear. The new law leaves that provision in place. But the new law also requires election officials to count ballots that are received up to seven days after Election Day if they are postmarked by Election Day. Sixteen other states accept ballots after Election Day that are postmarked by Election Day.

Federal law states that the “ electors of President and Vice President shall be appointed, in each State, on the Tuesday next after the first Monday in November . . . . ” This is why general elections are always on the first Tuesday in November. The plaintiffs argue that the new Nevada law’s counting procedure will mean some ballots could possibly be mailed after Election Day. In their complaint they say the new law “effectively extends the congressionally established Election Day.” This could easily go to the U.S. Supreme Court because of the urgency of the upcoming election.

‘Some Absentee OK’

Many view the president’s hostility to vote by mail as evidence that he is afraid postal voting will lose him the election. He proposed postponing the election itself until in-person voting can be done safely. Of course, only Congress has the power to set the date of Election Day, as the federal law in the Nevada case shows. Several congressional Republicans dismissed his idea of delaying the election. One Republican senator said that Trump was only joking to provoke the news media. Trump himself does not oppose all vote by mail. In May 2020, he tweeted, “ Some absentee OK, when necessary. ” He is a legal resident of Florida and has praised Florida’s vote-by-mail system. In the Florida primary, he voted by mail. In August, he told reporters, “ It’s actually a great thing, absentee ballots. I’m going to be voting absentee. ”

As partisan as the Republican opposition to vote by mail has been, some Republicans have voiced support for postal voting. U.S. Senate Majority Whip John Thune of South Dakota criticized Trump’s many off-the-cuff complaints about vote by mail. “ Mail-in voting has been used in a lot of places for a long time,” Thune told a reporter. “I think we want to assure people it’s going to work. It’s secure and if they vote that way, it’s going to count.”

Writing & Discussion

  1. What are the main arguments for and against postal voting? Which arguments do you find most persuasive?

  2. Why do you think vote by mail has become such a partisan issue ? How could the issue be presented in less partisan ways? Use evidence from the article in your answer.

  3. Imagine you are a justice on the U.S. Supreme Court in the case of President Trump against the state of Nevada. How would you decide the case? Use evidence from the article in your answer. 


Source List

Blinder, Alan. “Election Fraud in North Carolina Leads to New Charges for Republican Operative.” The New York Times , 30 July 2019, nytimes.com/2019/07/30/us/mccrae-dowless-indictment.html. Accessed 30 Aug. 2020. ∙ Corasaniti, Nick, and Stephanie Saul. “16 States Have Postponed Primaries During the Pandemic. Here’s a List.” The New York Times , 10 Aug. 2020, nytimes.com/article/2020-campaign-primary-calendar-coronavirus.html. Accessed 16 Aug. 2020. ∙ Fessler, Pam. “'It's Partly On Me': GOP Official Says Fraud Warnings Hamper Vote-By-Mail Push.” NPR, 15 May 2020, npr.org/2020/05/15/856189149/it-s-partly-on-me-gop-official-says-fraud-warnings-hamper-vote-by-mail-push. Accessed 16 Aug. 2020. ∙ Gardner, Amy, et al. “Primary voters in 8 states and D.C. faced some confusion, long lines and poor social distancing.” The Washington Post, 2 June 2020, washingtonpost.com/politics/in-pennsylvania-officials-prepare-forcoronavirus-civil-unrest-to-disrupt-tuesday-primary/2020/06/02/96a55c40-a4be-11ea-b619-3f9133bbb482_story.html . Accessed 15 Aug. 2020. ∙ Jackson, David, et al. “Trump floats delaying election over mail-in voting, legal experts say that power rests with Congress.” USA Today , 30 July 2020, usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2020/07/30/donald-trumpsuggests-delaying-election-because-mail-voting/5543726002/. Accessed 2 Sep. 2020. ∙ “July National Poll: Biden Maintains Lead in Presidential Race; Majority Support Nationwide Mask Mandate in Public Spaces.” Emerson College Polling, emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/july-national-poll-biden-maintains-lead-in-presidential-race-majority-support-nati
onwide-mask-mandate-in-public-spaces. Accessed 15 Sep. 2020. ∙ Kilgore, Ed. “Trump Admits He’s Starving the Postal Service to Sabotage Voting by Mail.” New York Magazine , Intelligencer, 13 Aug. 2020, nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/08/trump-admits-starving-usps-sabotage-voting-by-mail.html. Accessed 15 Aug. 2020. ∙ Korb, Lawrence J. “US troops routinely vote by mail. Why can’t the rest of America do the same?” MilitaryTimes.com. 18 May 2020, web.archive.org/web/20200523191233/militarytimes.com/opinion/commentary/2020/05/18/us-troopsroutinely-
vote-by-mail-why-cant-the-rest-of-america-do-the-same/. Accessed 1 September 2020. ∙ Lee, Ella. “Fact check: Voters should request ballots 2 weeks early, but mail isn't intentionally slow.” USA Today , 10 Aug. 2020, usatoday.com/story/news/factcheck/2020/08/10/fact-check-request-ballots-early-but-mail-isnt-intentionally-slow/5538705002/.  Accessed 30 Aug. 2020. ∙ Levin, Yuval. “The Real Challenge of Voting By Mail.” National Review , 30 July 2020, nationalreview.com/corner/the-real-challenge-of-voting-by-mail/. Accessed 12 Sep. 2020. ∙ Phillip, Abby. “Republican National Committee sues California to halt vote-by-mail for November general election.” CNN, 25 May 2020, cnn.com/2020/05/24/politics/republican-national-committee-california-vote-by-mail-lawsuit/index.html. Accessed 15 Aug. 2020. ∙ Raju, Manu, and Clare Foran. “Top Senate Republican pushes back against Trump's unsubstantiated claims mail-in-voting leads to mass fraud.” CNN, 5 Aug. 2020, cnn.com/2020/08/05/politics/republicans-trump-voteby-mail-concerns/index.html. Accessed 15 Aug. 2020. ∙ “Remarks by President Trump at a Turning Point Action Address to 
Young Americans.” The White House, 23 June 2020, whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/remarks-president-trumpturning-point-action-address-young-americans/. Accessed 15 Aug. 2020. ∙ Saul, Stephanie, and Reid J. Epstein. “Trump Is Pushing a False Argument on Vote-by-Mail Fraud. Here Are the Facts.” The New York Times , 31 Aug. 2020, nytimes.com/article/mail-in-voting-explained.html. Accessed 02 Sep. 2020. ∙ Tackett, Michael, and Michael Wines. “Trump Disbands Commission on Voter Fraud.” The New York Times , 3 Jan. 2018, nytimes.com/2018/01/03/us/politics/trumpvoter-fraud-commission.html. Accessed 02 Sep. 2020. ∙ Thompson, Daniel M., et al. “The Neutral Partisan Effects of Vote-by-Mail: Evidence from County-Level Roll-Outs.” Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research, 15 April 2020, siepr.stanford.edu/sites/default/files/publications/20-015.pdf. Accessed 30 Aug. 2020. ∙ Timm, Jane C. “An all-out war over mail voting has erupted in courts across the U.S. Here's what's at stake.” NBC News, 15 Aug. 2020, nbcnews.com/politics/ donald-trump/all-out-war-over-mail-voting-has-erupted-courts-across-n1235216. Accessed 30 Aug. 2020. ∙ United States District Court, Eastern District of California. Republican National Committee, et al., v. Gavin Newsom, Complaint for Declarative and Injunctive Relief. Bloomberg Law, filed 24 May 2020, bloomberglaw.com/public/desktop/ document/RepublicanNationalCommitteeetalvNewsometalDocketNo220cv01055EDCal/1?1597011582. Accessed 1 Sep. 2020. ∙ “VOPP: Table 11: Receipt and Postmark Deadlines for Absentee Ballots.” National Conference of State Legislatures, 10 Sep. 2020, ncsl.org/research/elections-and-campaigns/vopp-table-11-receipt-and-postmark-deadlines-forabsentee-ballots.aspx. Accessed 15 Sep. 2020. ∙ Quinn, Melissa. “Trump campaign, RNC sue Nevada over bill expanding mail-in voting.” CBS News, 6 Aug. 2020, cbsnews.com/news/trump-campaign-sues-nevada-mail-in-voting-bill-rnc/. Accessed 20 Aug. 2020. ∙ “Voting by Mail and Absentee Voting.” MIT Election Data + Science Lab, electionlab.mit.edu/ research/voting-mail-and-absentee-voting. Accessed 15 Sep. 2020. ∙ Wines, Michael. “All This Talk of Voter Fraud? Across U.S., Officials Found Next to None.” The New York Times, 18 Dec. 2016, nytimes.com/2016/12/18/us/voter-fraud.html. Accessed 16 Sep. 2020.

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